Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.001099 0.001136 0.001174 0.001216 0.001260 0.001306 0.001356
2025-08-24 0.001015 0.001069 0.001125 0.001189 0.001258 0.001333 0.001420
2025-08-31 0.000975 0.001042 0.001114 0.001198 0.001293 0.001399 0.001527
2025-09-07 0.000937 0.001014 0.001098 0.001198 0.001316 0.001450 0.001618
2025-09-14 0.000898 0.000981 0.001074 0.001186 0.001321 0.001480 0.001685
2025-09-21 0.000863 0.000950 0.001049 0.001171 0.001321 0.001501 0.001740
2025-09-28 0.000836 0.000927 0.001032 0.001163 0.001327 0.001529 0.001804
2025-10-05 0.000798 0.000889 0.000995 0.001129 0.001299 0.001511 0.001806
2025-10-12 0.000777 0.000870 0.000980 0.001121 0.001302 0.001533 0.001861
2025-10-19 0.000762 0.000859 0.000973 0.001122 0.001316 0.001568 0.001937
2025-10-26 0.000744 0.000842 0.000959 0.001113 0.001317 0.001585 0.001987
2025-11-02 0.000732 0.000832 0.000954 0.001115 0.001330 0.001620 0.002065
2025-11-09 0.000716 0.000818 0.000942 0.001109 0.001334 0.001643 0.002126
2025-11-16 0.000700 0.000802 0.000928 0.001099 0.001332 0.001656 0.002175
2025-11-23 0.000695 0.000802 0.000933 0.001113 0.001365 0.001721 0.002310
2025-11-30 0.000686 0.000795 0.000930 0.001117 0.001381 0.001764 0.002413
2025-12-07 0.000673 0.000781 0.000918 0.001108 0.001380 0.001778 0.002470
2025-12-14 0.000658 0.000767 0.000903 0.001095 0.001372 0.001783 0.002509
2025-12-21 0.000647 0.000756 0.000893 0.001089 0.001373 0.001800 0.002571
2025-12-28 0.000627 0.000733 0.000867 0.001059 0.001337 0.001759 0.002525
2026-01-04 0.000617 0.000723 0.000858 0.001052 0.001336 0.001772 0.002579
2026-01-11 0.000610 0.000717 0.000854 0.001052 0.001347 0.001804 0.002672
2026-01-18 0.000600 0.000707 0.000845 0.001045 0.001344 0.001814 0.002722